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Citrini Says AI Infrastructure Trade’s Most Optimistic Phase Is Over, Shifts to Pair Trades

Research firm Citrini said the most optimistic expectations for the AI infrastructure trade have passed, with the market entering a late-cycle expansion, on November 5 as U.S. stocks suffered their largest selloff of the year. Citrini reworked its portfolio, switching its AI position from outright long to pair trades and adding four themes: boomer software, alcohol, financials and entertainment. It cited AI ecosystem annualized revenue of about $200 billion against capital expenditure heading to $1 trillion, and more than $10 trillion in cloud giant market value that cannot be funded from cash flow.

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